Too close to call: Jaylin Noel (7.5) and Adonai Mitchell (7.3) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Jaylin Noel faces the 14th-toughest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Jaylin Noel WR · HOU | Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 4.9 | 6.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 8.9 | 7.7 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NYG | vs MIA |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-toughest (31.1 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-toughest (23.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 13% target share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Jaylin Noel projects for 7.5 PPR points and Adonai Mitchell for 7.3, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 7.5 PPR points for Jaylin Noel and 7.3 for Adonai Mitchell.
The sources range from 4.9 to 8.9 for Noel and from 6.6 to 7.7 for Mitchell. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Adonai Mitchell is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Mitchell at 6.6 PPR points, against 4.9 for Jaylin Noel.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jaylin Noel has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Noel at 8.9 PPR points, against 7.7 for Adonai Mitchell.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jaylin Noel plays NYG and Adonai Mitchell plays MIA in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Noel faces the 14th-toughest defense against WRs and Mitchell faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs, so Jaylin Noel has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jaylin Noel has drawn 13% of his team's targets, and Adonai Mitchell 22% of his team's targets.
Adonai Mitchell has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Adonai Mitchell.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jaylin Noel nor Adonai Mitchell has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jaylin Noel is projected by 4 of them and Adonai Mitchell by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.