Start AJ Barner. Barner is projected for 8.1 PPR points vs 7.4 for Jake Ferguson, and faces the 16th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| AJ Barner TE · SEA | Jake Ferguson TE · DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 8.1 | 7.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.6 | 5.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 8.6 | 9.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 7.6 (TE19) | 5.9 (TE31) |
| Opponent | vs CHI | vs ARI |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-softest (13.1 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (16.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 14% target share (last 3) | 8% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start AJ Barner. Barner projects for 8.1 PPR points vs CHI, against 7.4 for Jake Ferguson vs ARI: a 0.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
AJ Barner is projected to score more: 8.1 PPR points to 7.4 for Jake Ferguson.
The sources range from 7.6 to 8.6 for Barner and from 5.5 to 9.8 for Ferguson. The ranges overlap, so Ferguson outscoring Barner is a realistic result.
AJ Barner is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Barner at 7.6 PPR points, against 5.5 for Jake Ferguson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jake Ferguson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Ferguson at 9.8 PPR points, against 8.6 for AJ Barner.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
AJ Barner plays CHI and Jake Ferguson plays ARI in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Barner faces the 16th-softest defense against TEs and Ferguson faces the 7th-softest defense against TEs, so Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games AJ Barner has drawn 14% of his team's targets, and Jake Ferguson 8% of his team's targets.
AJ Barner has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is AJ Barner.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither AJ Barner nor Jake Ferguson has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). AJ Barner is projected by 5 of them and Jake Ferguson by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.