Too close to call: Caleb Douglas (9.5) and Devaughn Vele (9.4) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Caleb Douglas faces the 3rd-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Caleb Douglas WR · MIA | Devaughn Vele WR · NO | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 9.5 | 9.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.5 | 8.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.0 | 10.1 |
| StatChasers projection | 9.6 (WR44) | 10.1 (WR36) |
| Opponent | vs DET | vs CLE |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-softest (37.7 pts/g allowed) | 12th-toughest (29.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 16% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Caleb Douglas projects for 9.5 PPR points and Devaughn Vele for 9.4, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 9.5 PPR points for Caleb Douglas and 9.4 for Devaughn Vele.
The sources range from 8.5 to 10.0 for Douglas and from 8.7 to 10.1 for Vele. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Devaughn Vele is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Vele at 8.7 PPR points, against 8.5 for Caleb Douglas.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Devaughn Vele has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Vele at 10.1 PPR points, against 10.0 for Caleb Douglas.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Caleb Douglas plays DET and Devaughn Vele plays CLE in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Douglas faces the 3rd-softest defense against WRs and Vele faces the 12th-toughest defense against WRs, so Caleb Douglas has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Caleb Douglas has drawn 16% of his team's targets, and Devaughn Vele 19% of his team's targets.
Devaughn Vele has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Devaughn Vele.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Caleb Douglas nor Devaughn Vele has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Caleb Douglas is projected by 6 of them and Devaughn Vele by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.