Too close to call: Caleb Douglas (6.7) and Makai Lemon (6.6) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Caleb Douglas faces the 12th-toughest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Caleb Douglas WR · MIA | Makai Lemon WR · PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 6.7 | 6.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 7.6 | 9.1 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NYJ | vs DAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 12th-toughest (30.2 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (36.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 20% target share (last 2) | 18% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Caleb Douglas projects for 6.7 PPR points and Makai Lemon for 6.6, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 6.7 PPR points for Caleb Douglas and 6.6 for Makai Lemon.
The sources range from 5.3 to 7.6 for Douglas and from 4.4 to 9.1 for Lemon. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Caleb Douglas is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Douglas at 5.3 PPR points, against 4.4 for Makai Lemon.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Makai Lemon has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Lemon at 9.1 PPR points, against 7.6 for Caleb Douglas.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Caleb Douglas plays NYJ and Makai Lemon plays DAL in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Douglas faces the 12th-toughest defense against WRs and Lemon faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs, so Makai Lemon has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Caleb Douglas has drawn 20% of his team's targets, and Makai Lemon 18% of his team's targets.
Caleb Douglas has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Caleb Douglas.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Caleb Douglas nor Makai Lemon has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Caleb Douglas is projected by 4 of them and Makai Lemon by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.