Start Chig Okonkwo. Okonkwo is projected for 8.9 PPR points vs 8.4 for Juwan Johnson, and faces the 7th-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Chig Okonkwo TE · WAS | Juwan Johnson TE · NO | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 8.9 | 8.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.3 | 7.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.4 | 10.3 |
| StatChasers projection | 9.0 (TE19) | 7.7 (TE23) |
| Opponent | vs LAR | vs CLE |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-toughest (10.6 pts/g allowed) | 10th-softest (14.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 20% target share (last 3) | 11% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Chig Okonkwo. Okonkwo projects for 8.9 PPR points vs LAR, against 8.4 for Juwan Johnson vs CLE: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Chig Okonkwo is projected to score more: 8.9 PPR points to 8.4 for Juwan Johnson.
The sources range from 8.3 to 9.4 for Okonkwo and from 7.2 to 10.3 for Johnson. The ranges overlap, so Johnson outscoring Okonkwo is a realistic result.
Chig Okonkwo is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Okonkwo at 8.3 PPR points, against 7.2 for Juwan Johnson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Juwan Johnson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Johnson at 10.3 PPR points, against 9.4 for Chig Okonkwo.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Chig Okonkwo plays LAR and Juwan Johnson plays CLE in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Okonkwo faces the 7th-toughest defense against TEs and Johnson faces the 10th-softest defense against TEs, so Juwan Johnson has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Chig Okonkwo has drawn 20% of his team's targets, and Juwan Johnson 11% of his team's targets.
Chig Okonkwo has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Chig Okonkwo.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Chig Okonkwo nor Juwan Johnson has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Chig Okonkwo is projected by 4 of them and Juwan Johnson by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.