Start Ladd McConkey. McConkey is projected for 11.5 PPR points vs 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr., and faces the 4th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Ladd McConkey WR · LAC | Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 11.5 | 0.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.5 | 0.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.0 | 0.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.0 (WR31) | — |
| Opponent | vs HOU | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-softest (37.3 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 9% target share (last 3) | 11% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ladd McConkey. McConkey projects for 11.5 PPR points vs HOU, against 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr. on a bye: a 10.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ladd McConkey is projected to score more: 11.5 PPR points to 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr..
The sources range from 10.5 to 13.0 for McConkey and from 0.7 to 0.7 for Samuel Sr.. Even Samuel Sr.'s highest projection is below McConkey's lowest.
Ladd McConkey is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has McConkey at 10.5 PPR points, against 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ladd McConkey has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has McConkey at 13.0 PPR points, against 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ladd McConkey plays HOU and Deebo Samuel Sr. is on a bye in Week 9.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ladd McConkey has drawn 9% of his team's targets, and Deebo Samuel Sr. 11% of his team's targets.
Deebo Samuel Sr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Deebo Samuel Sr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Ladd McConkey has no injury designation, and Deebo Samuel Sr. is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ladd McConkey is projected by 6 of them and Deebo Samuel Sr. by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.