Too close to call: Kenny Gainwell (7.5) and Elijah Mitchell (7.3) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Kenny Gainwell faces the 3rd-toughest defense against RBs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Kenny Gainwell RB · TB | Elijah Mitchell RB · PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 6.6 | 6.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 8.3 | 8.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 6.6 (RB41) | 6.6 (RB40) |
| Opponent | vs CHI | vs NYG |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (17.8 pts/g allowed) | 11th-toughest (19.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 32% carry share (last 3) | 26% carry share (last 2) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Kenny Gainwell projects for 7.5 PPR points and Elijah Mitchell for 7.3, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 7.5 PPR points for Kenny Gainwell and 7.3 for Elijah Mitchell.
The sources range from 6.6 to 8.3 for Gainwell and from 6.6 to 8.8 for Mitchell. Either result is well inside both ranges.
They share the same floor, 6.6 PPR points.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Elijah Mitchell has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Mitchell at 8.8 PPR points, against 8.3 for Kenny Gainwell.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Kenny Gainwell plays CHI and Elijah Mitchell plays NYG in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Gainwell faces the 3rd-toughest defense against RBs and Mitchell faces the 11th-toughest defense against RBs, so Elijah Mitchell has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Kenny Gainwell has drawn 32% of his team's carries, and Elijah Mitchell 26% of his team's carries.
Kenny Gainwell has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Kenny Gainwell nor Elijah Mitchell has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Kenny Gainwell is projected by 4 of them and Elijah Mitchell by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.