Too close to call: Germie Bernard (11.4) and Tyler Warren (11.3) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and Germie Bernard faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Germie Bernard WR · PIT | Tyler Warren TE · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.8 | 11.9 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.5 (WR22) | 10.8 (TE10) |
| Opponent | vs CLE | vs JAX |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-softest (31.8 pts/g allowed) | 11th-toughest (11.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 26% target share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | TE |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Germie Bernard projects for 11.4 PPR points and Tyler Warren for 11.3, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 11.4 PPR points for Germie Bernard and 11.3 for Tyler Warren.
The sources range from 10.3 to 12.8 for Bernard and from 10.8 to 11.9 for Warren. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Tyler Warren is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Warren at 10.8 PPR points, against 10.3 for Germie Bernard.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Germie Bernard has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Bernard at 12.8 PPR points, against 11.9 for Tyler Warren.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Germie Bernard plays CLE and Tyler Warren plays JAX in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Bernard faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs and Warren faces the 11th-toughest defense against TEs, so Germie Bernard has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Germie Bernard has drawn 26% of his team's targets, and Tyler Warren 22% of his team's targets.
Germie Bernard has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Germie Bernard.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Germie Bernard nor Tyler Warren has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Germie Bernard is projected by 5 of them and Tyler Warren by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.