Start Jaylen Waddle. Waddle is projected for 11.4 PPR points vs 10.6 for KC Concepcion Jr., and faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN | KC Concepcion Jr. WR · CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 11.4 | 10.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.7 | 10.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| StatChasers projection | — | 11.3 (WR27) |
| Opponent | vs KC | vs PIT |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-toughest (23.7 pts/g allowed) | 14th-toughest (30.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 27% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR3 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jaylen Waddle. Waddle projects for 11.4 PPR points vs KC, against 10.6 for KC Concepcion Jr. vs PIT: a 0.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jaylen Waddle is projected to score more: 11.4 PPR points to 10.6 for KC Concepcion Jr..
The sources range from 10.7 to 12.4 for Waddle and from 10.1 to 11.4 for Concepcion Jr.. The ranges overlap, so Concepcion Jr. outscoring Waddle is a realistic result.
Jaylen Waddle is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Waddle at 10.7 PPR points, against 10.1 for KC Concepcion Jr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jaylen Waddle has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Waddle at 12.4 PPR points, against 11.4 for KC Concepcion Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jaylen Waddle plays KC and KC Concepcion Jr. plays PIT in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Waddle faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs and Concepcion Jr. faces the 14th-toughest defense against WRs, so KC Concepcion Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jaylen Waddle has drawn 27% of his team's targets, and KC Concepcion Jr. 19% of his team's targets.
Jaylen Waddle has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jaylen Waddle.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jaylen Waddle nor KC Concepcion Jr. has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jaylen Waddle is projected by 4 of them and KC Concepcion Jr. by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.