Start Ollie Gordon II. Gordon II is projected for 11.8 PPR points vs 11.4 for Jaylen Waddle, and faces the 13th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Ollie Gordon II RB · MIA | Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 11.8 | 11.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.6 | 10.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.4 | 12.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.1 (RB23) | — |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs KC |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-toughest (20.6 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-toughest (23.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 56% carry share (last 3) | 27% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ollie Gordon II. Gordon II projects for 11.8 PPR points vs NE, against 11.4 for Jaylen Waddle vs KC: a 0.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ollie Gordon II is projected to score more: 11.8 PPR points to 11.4 for Jaylen Waddle.
The sources range from 8.6 to 14.4 for Gordon II and from 10.7 to 12.4 for Waddle. The ranges overlap, so Waddle outscoring Gordon II is a realistic result.
Jaylen Waddle is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Waddle at 10.7 PPR points, against 8.6 for Ollie Gordon II.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ollie Gordon II has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Gordon II at 14.4 PPR points, against 12.4 for Jaylen Waddle.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ollie Gordon II plays NE and Jaylen Waddle plays KC in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Gordon II faces the 13th-toughest defense against RBs and Waddle faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs, so Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ollie Gordon II has drawn 56% of his team's carries, and Jaylen Waddle 27% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jaylen Waddle.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Ollie Gordon II nor Jaylen Waddle has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ollie Gordon II is projected by 6 of them and Jaylen Waddle by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.