Start Jordan Watkins. Watkins is projected for 7.2 PPR points vs 6.3 for Marvin Harrison Jr., and faces the 11th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Jordan Watkins WR · SF | Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 7.2 | 6.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.6 | 4.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 7.7 | 7.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 7.6 (WR51) | 7.1 (WR54) |
| Opponent | vs LV | vs LAC |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-softest (33.8 pts/g allowed) | 16th-toughest (30.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 7% target share (last 3) | 13% target share (last 2) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jordan Watkins. Watkins projects for 7.2 PPR points vs LV, against 6.3 for Marvin Harrison Jr. vs LAC: a 0.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jordan Watkins is projected to score more: 7.2 PPR points to 6.3 for Marvin Harrison Jr..
The sources range from 5.6 to 7.7 for Watkins and from 4.1 to 7.5 for Harrison Jr.. The ranges overlap, so Harrison Jr. outscoring Watkins is a realistic result.
Jordan Watkins is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Watkins at 5.6 PPR points, against 4.1 for Marvin Harrison Jr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jordan Watkins has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Watkins at 7.7 PPR points, against 7.5 for Marvin Harrison Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jordan Watkins plays LV and Marvin Harrison Jr. plays LAC in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Watkins faces the 11th-softest defense against WRs and Harrison Jr. faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs, so Jordan Watkins has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jordan Watkins has drawn 7% of his team's targets, and Marvin Harrison Jr. 13% of his team's targets.
Marvin Harrison Jr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Marvin Harrison Jr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jordan Watkins nor Marvin Harrison Jr. has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jordan Watkins is projected by 6 of them and Marvin Harrison Jr. by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.