Start Josh Allen. Allen is projected for 21.2 PPR points vs 16.8 for Malik Willis, and faces the 1st-toughest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Josh Allen QB · BUF | Malik Willis QB · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 21.2 | 16.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 19.1 | 15.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 23.1 | 17.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 22.5 (QB1) | 17.2 (QB15) |
| Opponent | vs MIN | vs DET |
| Opponent vs. position | 1st-toughest (8.9 pts/g allowed) | 1st-softest (25.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | START · Strong QB1 | FLEX · Streamer |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Josh Allen. Allen projects for 21.2 PPR points vs MIN, against 16.8 for Malik Willis vs DET: a 4.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Josh Allen is projected to score more: 21.2 PPR points to 16.8 for Malik Willis.
The sources range from 19.1 to 23.1 for Allen and from 15.1 to 17.6 for Willis. Even Willis's highest projection is below Allen's lowest.
Josh Allen is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Allen at 19.1 PPR points, against 15.1 for Malik Willis.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Josh Allen has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Allen at 23.1 PPR points, against 17.6 for Malik Willis.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Josh Allen plays MIN and Malik Willis plays DET in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Allen faces the 1st-toughest defense against QBs and Willis faces the 1st-softest defense against QBs, so Malik Willis has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Josh Allen nor Malik Willis has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Josh Allen is projected by 6 of them and Malik Willis by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.