Start Rico Dowdle. Dowdle is projected for 7.5 PPR points vs 6.9 for Roschon Johnson, and faces the 1st-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Rico Dowdle RB · PIT | Roschon Johnson RB · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 7.5 | 6.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 8.9 | 9.9 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NO | vs NE |
| Opponent vs. position | 1st-softest (29.7 pts/g allowed) | 16th-softest (20.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 33% carry share (last 3) | 20% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Rico Dowdle. Dowdle projects for 7.5 PPR points vs NO, against 6.9 for Roschon Johnson vs NE: a 0.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Rico Dowdle is projected to score more: 7.5 PPR points to 6.9 for Roschon Johnson.
The sources range from 5.9 to 8.9 for Dowdle and from 1.9 to 9.9 for Johnson. The ranges overlap, so Johnson outscoring Dowdle is a realistic result.
Rico Dowdle is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Dowdle at 5.9 PPR points, against 1.9 for Roschon Johnson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Roschon Johnson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Johnson at 9.9 PPR points, against 8.9 for Rico Dowdle.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Rico Dowdle plays NO and Roschon Johnson plays NE in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Dowdle faces the 1st-softest defense against RBs and Johnson faces the 16th-softest defense against RBs, so Rico Dowdle has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Rico Dowdle has drawn 33% of his team's carries, and Roschon Johnson 20% of his team's carries.
Rico Dowdle has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Rico Dowdle nor Roschon Johnson has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Rico Dowdle is projected by 5 of them and Roschon Johnson by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.