Start Kendre Miller. Miller is projected for 9.0 PPR points vs 8.5 for Aaron Jones Sr..
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Kendre Miller RB · NO | Aaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 9.0 | 8.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 6.5 | 6.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.7 | 9.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 10.2 (RB29) | 8.6 (RB33) |
| Opponent | Bye | vs BUF |
| Opponent vs. position | — | 3rd-softest (26.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 53% carry share (last 3) | 46% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Kendre Miller. Miller projects for 9.0 PPR points on a bye, against 8.5 for Aaron Jones Sr. vs BUF: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Kendre Miller is projected to score more: 9.0 PPR points to 8.5 for Aaron Jones Sr..
The sources range from 6.5 to 10.7 for Miller and from 6.8 to 9.8 for Jones Sr.. The ranges overlap, so Jones Sr. outscoring Miller is a realistic result.
Aaron Jones Sr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Jones Sr. at 6.8 PPR points, against 6.5 for Kendre Miller.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Kendre Miller has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Miller at 10.7 PPR points, against 9.8 for Aaron Jones Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Kendre Miller is on a bye and Aaron Jones Sr. plays BUF in Week 9.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Kendre Miller has drawn 53% of his team's carries, and Aaron Jones Sr. 46% of his team's carries.
Kendre Miller has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Kendre Miller is on a bye, and Aaron Jones Sr. has no injury designation.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Kendre Miller is projected by 4 of them and Aaron Jones Sr. by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.