Too close to call: Emeka Egbuka (11.2) and Adonai Mitchell (11.1) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Emeka Egbuka faces the 16th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Emeka Egbuka WR · TB | Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 11.2 | 11.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.5 | 10.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.4 | 11.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.4 (WR22) | 11.4 (WR26) |
| Opponent | vs CHI | vs KC |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-softest (30.5 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-toughest (24.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 32% target share (last 3) | 25% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Emeka Egbuka projects for 11.2 PPR points and Adonai Mitchell for 11.1, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 11.2 PPR points for Emeka Egbuka and 11.1 for Adonai Mitchell.
The sources range from 10.5 to 12.4 for Egbuka and from 10.3 to 11.6 for Mitchell. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Emeka Egbuka is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Egbuka at 10.5 PPR points, against 10.3 for Adonai Mitchell.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Emeka Egbuka has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Egbuka at 12.4 PPR points, against 11.6 for Adonai Mitchell.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Emeka Egbuka plays CHI and Adonai Mitchell plays KC in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Egbuka faces the 16th-softest defense against WRs and Mitchell faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs, so Emeka Egbuka has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Emeka Egbuka has drawn 32% of his team's targets, and Adonai Mitchell 25% of his team's targets.
Emeka Egbuka has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Emeka Egbuka.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Emeka Egbuka nor Adonai Mitchell has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Emeka Egbuka is projected by 5 of them and Adonai Mitchell by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.