Too close to call: Adonai Mitchell (11.1) and Antonio Williams (11.0) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Adonai Mitchell faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ | Antonio Williams WR · WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 11.1 | 11.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.6 | 12.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.4 (WR26) | 10.7 (WR32) |
| Opponent | vs KC | vs LAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-toughest (24.9 pts/g allowed) | 5th-toughest (26.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 25% target share (last 3) | 17% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR3 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Adonai Mitchell projects for 11.1 PPR points and Antonio Williams for 11.0, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 11.1 PPR points for Adonai Mitchell and 11.0 for Antonio Williams.
The sources range from 10.3 to 11.6 for Mitchell and from 9.7 to 12.8 for Williams. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Adonai Mitchell is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Mitchell at 10.3 PPR points, against 9.7 for Antonio Williams.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Antonio Williams has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Williams at 12.8 PPR points, against 11.6 for Adonai Mitchell.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Adonai Mitchell plays KC and Antonio Williams plays LAR in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Mitchell faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs and Williams faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs, so Antonio Williams has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Adonai Mitchell has drawn 25% of his team's targets, and Antonio Williams 17% of his team's targets.
Adonai Mitchell has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Adonai Mitchell.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Adonai Mitchell nor Antonio Williams has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Adonai Mitchell is projected by 6 of them and Antonio Williams by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.