Start Amon-Ra St. Brown. St. Brown is projected for 20.2 PPR points vs 17.5 for D'Andre Swift, and faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · DET | D'Andre Swift RB · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 20.2 | 17.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 19.1 | 16.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 22.2 | 18.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 19.1 (WR5) | 18.3 (RB5) |
| Opponent | vs MIA | vs TB |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (25.4 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-toughest (16.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 35% target share (last 3) | 66% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · Strong RB1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown. St. Brown projects for 20.2 PPR points vs MIA, against 17.5 for D'Andre Swift vs TB: a 2.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to score more: 20.2 PPR points to 17.5 for D'Andre Swift.
The sources range from 19.1 to 22.2 for St. Brown and from 16.6 to 18.6 for Swift. Even Swift's highest projection is below St. Brown's lowest.
Amon-Ra St. Brown is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has St. Brown at 19.1 PPR points, against 16.6 for D'Andre Swift.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has St. Brown at 22.2 PPR points, against 18.6 for D'Andre Swift.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Amon-Ra St. Brown plays MIA and D'Andre Swift plays TB in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, St. Brown faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs and Swift faces the 2nd-toughest defense against RBs, so Amon-Ra St. Brown has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Amon-Ra St. Brown has drawn 35% of his team's targets, and D'Andre Swift 66% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Amon-Ra St. Brown.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Amon-Ra St. Brown nor D'Andre Swift has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected by 6 of them and D'Andre Swift by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.