Start Ashton Jeanty. Jeanty is projected for 16.2 PPR points vs 15.1 for Tetairoa McMillan, and faces the 16th-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Ashton Jeanty RB · LV | Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 16.2 | 15.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 15.7 | 14.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.8 | 15.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.0 (RB16) | 15.7 (WR11) |
| Opponent | vs NYJ | vs GB |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-softest (21.4 pts/g allowed) | 9th-softest (35.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 51% carry share (last 3) | 30% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · Strong WR1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ashton Jeanty. Jeanty projects for 16.2 PPR points vs NYJ, against 15.1 for Tetairoa McMillan vs GB: a 1.1-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ashton Jeanty is projected to score more: 16.2 PPR points to 15.1 for Tetairoa McMillan.
The sources range from 15.7 to 16.8 for Jeanty and from 14.4 to 15.7 for McMillan. The ranges overlap, so McMillan outscoring Jeanty is a realistic result.
Ashton Jeanty is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Jeanty at 15.7 PPR points, against 14.4 for Tetairoa McMillan.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ashton Jeanty has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Jeanty at 16.8 PPR points, against 15.7 for Tetairoa McMillan.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ashton Jeanty plays NYJ and Tetairoa McMillan plays GB in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Jeanty faces the 16th-softest defense against RBs and McMillan faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs, so Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ashton Jeanty has drawn 51% of his team's carries, and Tetairoa McMillan 30% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Tetairoa McMillan.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Ashton Jeanty nor Tetairoa McMillan has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ashton Jeanty is projected by 6 of them and Tetairoa McMillan by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.