Too close to call: Tetairoa McMillan (15.1) and A.J. Brown (15.0) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and Tetairoa McMillan faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR | A.J. Brown WR · NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.1 | 15.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.4 | 13.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.7 | 16.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.7 (WR11) | 14.5 (WR14) |
| Opponent | vs GB | vs MIA |
| Opponent vs. position | 9th-softest (35.7 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-toughest (23.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 30% target share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Tetairoa McMillan projects for 15.1 PPR points and A.J. Brown for 15.0, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 15.1 PPR points for Tetairoa McMillan and 15.0 for A.J. Brown.
The sources range from 14.4 to 15.7 for McMillan and from 13.4 to 16.6 for Brown. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Tetairoa McMillan is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has McMillan at 14.4 PPR points, against 13.4 for A.J. Brown.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
A.J. Brown has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Brown at 16.6 PPR points, against 15.7 for Tetairoa McMillan.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Tetairoa McMillan plays GB and A.J. Brown plays MIA in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, McMillan faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs and Brown faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs, so Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Tetairoa McMillan has drawn 30% of his team's targets, and A.J. Brown 22% of his team's targets.
Tetairoa McMillan has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Tetairoa McMillan.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Tetairoa McMillan nor A.J. Brown has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Tetairoa McMillan is projected by 5 of them and A.J. Brown by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.