Too close to call: Audric Estime (6.3) and Justice Hill (6.3) project within 0.0 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Audric Estime faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Audric Estime RB · NO | Justice Hill RB · BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 6.3 | 6.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 0.2 | 3.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.4 | 8.0 |
| StatChasers projection | — | 7.5 (RB35) |
| Opponent | vs CLE | vs JAX |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-toughest (21.1 pts/g allowed) | 1st-toughest (16.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 31% carry share (last 1) | 9% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Audric Estime projects for 6.3 PPR points and Justice Hill for 6.3, within 0.0 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 6.3 PPR points for Audric Estime and 6.3 for Justice Hill.
The sources range from 0.2 to 11.4 for Estime and from 3.6 to 8.0 for Hill. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Justice Hill is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Hill at 3.6 PPR points, against 0.2 for Audric Estime.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Audric Estime has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Estime at 11.4 PPR points, against 8.0 for Justice Hill.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Audric Estime plays CLE and Justice Hill plays JAX in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Estime faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs and Hill faces the 1st-toughest defense against RBs, so Audric Estime has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Audric Estime has drawn 31% of his team's carries, and Justice Hill 9% of his team's carries.
Audric Estime has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Audric Estime nor Justice Hill has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Audric Estime is projected by 4 of them and Justice Hill by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.