Start Justice Hill. Hill is projected for 6.3 PPR points vs 6.0 for Austin Ekeler, and faces the 1st-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Justice Hill RB · BAL | Austin Ekeler RB · WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 8.0 | 7.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 7.5 (RB35) | 5.5 (RB45) |
| Opponent | vs JAX | vs LAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 1st-toughest (16.8 pts/g allowed) | 12th-toughest (19.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 9% carry share (last 3) | 16% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Justice Hill. Hill projects for 6.3 PPR points vs JAX, against 6.0 for Austin Ekeler vs LAR: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Justice Hill is projected to score more: 6.3 PPR points to 6.0 for Austin Ekeler.
The sources range from 3.6 to 8.0 for Hill and from 3.6 to 7.6 for Ekeler. The ranges overlap, so Ekeler outscoring Hill is a realistic result.
They share the same floor, 3.6 PPR points.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Justice Hill has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Hill at 8.0 PPR points, against 7.6 for Austin Ekeler.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Justice Hill plays JAX and Austin Ekeler plays LAR in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Hill faces the 1st-toughest defense against RBs and Ekeler faces the 12th-toughest defense against RBs, so Austin Ekeler has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Justice Hill has drawn 9% of his team's carries, and Austin Ekeler 16% of his team's carries.
Austin Ekeler has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Justice Hill nor Austin Ekeler has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Justice Hill is projected by 6 of them and Austin Ekeler by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.