Start Bijan Robinson. Robinson is projected for 21.3 PPR points vs 19.2 for Kenneth Walker III, and faces the 3rd-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Bijan Robinson RB · ATL | Kenneth Walker III RB · KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 21.3 | 19.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 19.2 | 16.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 24.1 | 20.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 22.2 (RB2) | 19.7 (RB3) |
| Opponent | vs TB | vs DEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (17.8 pts/g allowed) | 11th-softest (22.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 69% carry share (last 3) | 82% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · Strong RB1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Bijan Robinson. Robinson projects for 21.3 PPR points vs TB, against 19.2 for Kenneth Walker III vs DEN: a 2.1-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Bijan Robinson is projected to score more: 21.3 PPR points to 19.2 for Kenneth Walker III.
The sources range from 19.2 to 24.1 for Robinson and from 16.7 to 20.6 for Walker III. The ranges overlap, so Walker III outscoring Robinson is a realistic result.
Bijan Robinson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Robinson at 19.2 PPR points, against 16.7 for Kenneth Walker III.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Bijan Robinson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Robinson at 24.1 PPR points, against 20.6 for Kenneth Walker III.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Bijan Robinson plays TB and Kenneth Walker III plays DEN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Robinson faces the 3rd-toughest defense against RBs and Walker III faces the 11th-softest defense against RBs, so Kenneth Walker III has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Bijan Robinson has drawn 69% of his team's carries, and Kenneth Walker III 82% of his team's carries.
Kenneth Walker III has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Bijan Robinson nor Kenneth Walker III has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Bijan Robinson is projected by 6 of them and Kenneth Walker III by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.