Too close to call: Bijan Robinson (21.3) and Ja'Marr Chase (21.1) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and Bijan Robinson faces the 3rd-toughest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Bijan Robinson RB · ATL | Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 21.3 | 21.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 19.2 | 19.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 24.1 | 22.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 22.2 (RB2) | 19.9 (WR4) |
| Opponent | vs TB | vs TEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (17.8 pts/g allowed) | 8th-softest (35.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 69% carry share (last 3) | 18% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · Strong WR1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Bijan Robinson projects for 21.3 PPR points and Ja'Marr Chase for 21.1, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 21.3 PPR points for Bijan Robinson and 21.1 for Ja'Marr Chase.
The sources range from 19.2 to 24.1 for Robinson and from 19.9 to 22.0 for Chase. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Ja'Marr Chase is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Chase at 19.9 PPR points, against 19.2 for Bijan Robinson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Bijan Robinson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Robinson at 24.1 PPR points, against 22.0 for Ja'Marr Chase.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Bijan Robinson plays TB and Ja'Marr Chase plays TEN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Robinson faces the 3rd-toughest defense against RBs and Chase faces the 8th-softest defense against WRs, so Ja'Marr Chase has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Bijan Robinson has drawn 69% of his team's carries, and Ja'Marr Chase 18% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Ja'Marr Chase.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Bijan Robinson nor Ja'Marr Chase has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Bijan Robinson is projected by 6 of them and Ja'Marr Chase by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.