Too close to call: Bo Nix (14.8) and J.J. McCarthy (14.6) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Bo Nix faces the 15th-toughest defense against QBs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Bo Nix QB · DEN | J.J. McCarthy QB · NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 14.8 | 14.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.0 | 10.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.5 | 17.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.5 (QB17) | 14.6 (QB23) |
| Opponent | vs CAR | vs PHI |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-toughest (17.4 pts/g allowed) | 10th-softest (19.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Bo Nix projects for 14.8 PPR points and J.J. McCarthy for 14.6, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 14.8 PPR points for Bo Nix and 14.6 for J.J. McCarthy.
The sources range from 11.0 to 16.5 for Nix and from 10.9 to 17.5 for McCarthy. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Bo Nix is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Nix at 11.0 PPR points, against 10.9 for J.J. McCarthy.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
J.J. McCarthy has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has McCarthy at 17.5 PPR points, against 16.5 for Bo Nix.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Bo Nix plays CAR and J.J. McCarthy plays PHI in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Nix faces the 15th-toughest defense against QBs and McCarthy faces the 10th-softest defense against QBs, so J.J. McCarthy has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Bo Nix nor J.J. McCarthy has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Bo Nix is projected by 6 of them and J.J. McCarthy by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.