Start Trey McBride. McBride is projected for 15.5 PPR points vs 15.0 for Bucky Irving, and faces the 14th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Trey McBride TE · ARI | Bucky Irving RB · TB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 15.5 | 15.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 15.2 | 14.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.9 | 16.5 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs DEN | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-softest (13.3 pts/g allowed) | 5th-softest (25.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 27% target share (last 3) | 59% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Trey McBride. McBride projects for 15.5 PPR points vs DEN, against 15.0 for Bucky Irving vs CAR: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Trey McBride is projected to score more: 15.5 PPR points to 15.0 for Bucky Irving.
The sources range from 15.2 to 15.9 for McBride and from 14.1 to 16.5 for Irving. The ranges overlap, so Irving outscoring McBride is a realistic result.
Trey McBride is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has McBride at 15.2 PPR points, against 14.1 for Bucky Irving.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Bucky Irving has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Irving at 16.5 PPR points, against 15.9 for Trey McBride.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Trey McBride plays DEN and Bucky Irving plays CAR in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, McBride faces the 14th-softest defense against TEs and Irving faces the 5th-softest defense against RBs, so Bucky Irving has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Trey McBride has drawn 27% of his team's targets, and Bucky Irving 59% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Trey McBride.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Trey McBride nor Bucky Irving has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Trey McBride is projected by 4 of them and Bucky Irving by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.