Start Jordan Addison. Addison is projected for 10.0 PPR points vs 9.5 for Caleb Douglas, and faces the 5th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Jordan Addison WR · MIN | Caleb Douglas WR · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 10.0 | 9.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.4 | 8.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 10.0 (WR38) | 9.6 (WR44) |
| Opponent | vs BUF | vs DET |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-softest (37.1 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-softest (37.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 20% target share (last 3) | 16% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jordan Addison. Addison projects for 10.0 PPR points vs BUF, against 9.5 for Caleb Douglas vs DET: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jordan Addison is projected to score more: 10.0 PPR points to 9.5 for Caleb Douglas.
The sources range from 8.4 to 11.6 for Addison and from 8.5 to 10.0 for Douglas. The ranges overlap, so Douglas outscoring Addison is a realistic result.
Caleb Douglas is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Douglas at 8.5 PPR points, against 8.4 for Jordan Addison.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jordan Addison has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Addison at 11.6 PPR points, against 10.0 for Caleb Douglas.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jordan Addison plays BUF and Caleb Douglas plays DET in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Addison faces the 5th-softest defense against WRs and Douglas faces the 3rd-softest defense against WRs, so Caleb Douglas has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jordan Addison has drawn 20% of his team's targets, and Caleb Douglas 16% of his team's targets.
Jordan Addison has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jordan Addison.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jordan Addison nor Caleb Douglas has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jordan Addison is projected by 6 of them and Caleb Douglas by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.