Start George Kittle. Kittle is projected for 17.4 PPR points vs 16.7 for Chase Brown, and faces the 4th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| George Kittle TE · SF | Chase Brown RB · CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 17.4 | 16.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 15.7 | 15.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 18.6 | 18.3 |
| StatChasers projection | 18.2 (TE2) | 17.4 (RB6) |
| Opponent | vs LV | vs ATL |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-softest (18.2 pts/g allowed) | 5th-softest (25.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 25% target share (last 3) | 51% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | START · Strong RB1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start George Kittle. Kittle projects for 17.4 PPR points vs LV, against 16.7 for Chase Brown vs ATL: a 0.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
George Kittle is projected to score more: 17.4 PPR points to 16.7 for Chase Brown.
The sources range from 15.7 to 18.6 for Kittle and from 15.4 to 18.3 for Brown. The ranges overlap, so Brown outscoring Kittle is a realistic result.
George Kittle is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Kittle at 15.7 PPR points, against 15.4 for Chase Brown.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
George Kittle has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kittle at 18.6 PPR points, against 18.3 for Chase Brown.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
George Kittle plays LV and Chase Brown plays ATL in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Kittle faces the 4th-softest defense against TEs and Brown faces the 5th-softest defense against RBs, so George Kittle has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games George Kittle has drawn 25% of his team's targets, and Chase Brown 51% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is George Kittle.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither George Kittle nor Chase Brown has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). George Kittle is projected by 5 of them and Chase Brown by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.