Start Chase Brown. Brown is projected for 16.5 PPR points vs 11.8 for Ollie Gordon II, and faces the 14th-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Chase Brown RB · CIN | Ollie Gordon II RB · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 16.5 | 11.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.8 | 8.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.7 | 14.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.7 (RB7) | 12.1 (RB23) |
| Opponent | vs TEN | vs NE |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-softest (22.0 pts/g allowed) | 13th-toughest (20.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 50% carry share (last 3) | 56% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Chase Brown. Brown projects for 16.5 PPR points vs TEN, against 11.8 for Ollie Gordon II vs NE: a 4.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Chase Brown is projected to score more: 16.5 PPR points to 11.8 for Ollie Gordon II.
The sources range from 13.8 to 17.7 for Brown and from 8.6 to 14.4 for Gordon II. The ranges overlap, so Gordon II outscoring Brown is a realistic result.
Chase Brown is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Brown at 13.8 PPR points, against 8.6 for Ollie Gordon II.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Chase Brown has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Brown at 17.7 PPR points, against 14.4 for Ollie Gordon II.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Chase Brown plays TEN and Ollie Gordon II plays NE in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Brown faces the 14th-softest defense against RBs and Gordon II faces the 13th-toughest defense against RBs, so Chase Brown has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Chase Brown has drawn 50% of his team's carries, and Ollie Gordon II 56% of his team's carries.
Ollie Gordon II has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Chase Brown nor Ollie Gordon II has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Chase Brown is projected by 6 of them and Ollie Gordon II by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.