Start Dalton Kincaid. Kincaid is projected for 10.4 PPR points vs 9.9 for Khalil Shakir, and faces the 13th-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Dalton Kincaid TE · BUF | Khalil Shakir WR · BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 10.4 | 9.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.9 | 9.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.4 | 11.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.4 (TE7) | 10.2 (WR36) |
| Opponent | vs BAL | vs BAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-toughest (12.3 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (35.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 15% target share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | WR |
| Our call | START · TE1 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Dalton Kincaid. Kincaid projects for 10.4 PPR points vs BAL, against 9.9 for Khalil Shakir vs BAL: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Dalton Kincaid is projected to score more: 10.4 PPR points to 9.9 for Khalil Shakir.
The sources range from 8.9 to 11.4 for Kincaid and from 9.4 to 11.0 for Shakir. The ranges overlap, so Shakir outscoring Kincaid is a realistic result.
Khalil Shakir is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Shakir at 9.4 PPR points, against 8.9 for Dalton Kincaid.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Dalton Kincaid has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kincaid at 11.4 PPR points, against 11.0 for Khalil Shakir.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Dalton Kincaid plays BAL and Khalil Shakir plays BAL in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Kincaid faces the 13th-toughest defense against TEs and Shakir faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs, so Khalil Shakir has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Dalton Kincaid has drawn 15% of his team's targets, and Khalil Shakir 22% of his team's targets.
Khalil Shakir has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Khalil Shakir.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Dalton Kincaid nor Khalil Shakir has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Dalton Kincaid is projected by 5 of them and Khalil Shakir by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.