Start George Pickens. Pickens is projected for 15.1 PPR points vs 14.1 for D'Andre Swift, and faces the 12th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| George Pickens WR · DAL | D'Andre Swift RB · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.1 | 14.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.9 | 13.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.0 | 17.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.4 (WR12) | 17.7 (RB6) |
| Opponent | vs ARI | vs SEA |
| Opponent vs. position | 12th-softest (33.6 pts/g allowed) | 15th-toughest (20.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 25% target share (last 3) | 54% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · Strong RB1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start George Pickens. Pickens projects for 15.1 PPR points vs ARI, against 14.1 for D'Andre Swift vs SEA: a 1.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
George Pickens is projected to score more: 15.1 PPR points to 14.1 for D'Andre Swift.
The sources range from 13.9 to 16.0 for Pickens and from 13.0 to 17.7 for Swift. The ranges overlap, so Swift outscoring Pickens is a realistic result.
George Pickens is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Pickens at 13.9 PPR points, against 13.0 for D'Andre Swift.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
D'Andre Swift has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Swift at 17.7 PPR points, against 16.0 for George Pickens.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
George Pickens plays ARI and D'Andre Swift plays SEA in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Pickens faces the 12th-softest defense against WRs and Swift faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs, so George Pickens has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games George Pickens has drawn 25% of his team's targets, and D'Andre Swift 54% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is George Pickens.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither George Pickens nor D'Andre Swift has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). George Pickens is projected by 5 of them and D'Andre Swift by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.