Too close to call: George Pickens (15.1) and A.J. Brown (15.0) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and George Pickens faces the 12th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| George Pickens WR · DAL | A.J. Brown WR · NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.1 | 15.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.9 | 13.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.0 | 16.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.4 (WR12) | 14.5 (WR14) |
| Opponent | vs ARI | vs MIA |
| Opponent vs. position | 12th-softest (33.6 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-toughest (23.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 25% target share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. George Pickens projects for 15.1 PPR points and A.J. Brown for 15.0, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 15.1 PPR points for George Pickens and 15.0 for A.J. Brown.
The sources range from 13.9 to 16.0 for Pickens and from 13.4 to 16.6 for Brown. Either result is well inside both ranges.
George Pickens is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Pickens at 13.9 PPR points, against 13.4 for A.J. Brown.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
A.J. Brown has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Brown at 16.6 PPR points, against 16.0 for George Pickens.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
George Pickens plays ARI and A.J. Brown plays MIA in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Pickens faces the 12th-softest defense against WRs and Brown faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs, so George Pickens has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games George Pickens has drawn 25% of his team's targets, and A.J. Brown 22% of his team's targets.
George Pickens has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is George Pickens.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither George Pickens nor A.J. Brown has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). George Pickens is projected by 5 of them and A.J. Brown by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.