Start KC Concepcion Jr.. Concepcion Jr. is projected for 10.7 PPR points vs 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr., and faces the 14th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| KC Concepcion Jr. WR · CLE | Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 10.7 | 0.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.2 | 0.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.4 | 0.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.4 (WR27) | — |
| Opponent | vs NO | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-toughest (29.8 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 20% target share (last 3) | 11% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR3 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start KC Concepcion Jr.. Concepcion Jr. projects for 10.7 PPR points vs NO, against 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr. on a bye: a 10.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
KC Concepcion Jr. is projected to score more: 10.7 PPR points to 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr..
The sources range from 10.2 to 11.4 for Concepcion Jr. and from 0.7 to 0.7 for Samuel Sr.. Even Samuel Sr.'s highest projection is below Concepcion Jr.'s lowest.
KC Concepcion Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Concepcion Jr. at 10.2 PPR points, against 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
KC Concepcion Jr. has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Concepcion Jr. at 11.4 PPR points, against 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
KC Concepcion Jr. plays NO and Deebo Samuel Sr. is on a bye in Week 9.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games KC Concepcion Jr. has drawn 20% of his team's targets, and Deebo Samuel Sr. 11% of his team's targets.
KC Concepcion Jr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is KC Concepcion Jr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
KC Concepcion Jr. has no injury designation, and Deebo Samuel Sr. is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). KC Concepcion Jr. is projected by 6 of them and Deebo Samuel Sr. by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.