Too close to call: KC Concepcion Jr. (9.4) and Keenan Allen (9.2) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and KC Concepcion Jr. faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| KC Concepcion Jr. WR · CLE | Keenan Allen WR · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 9.4 | 9.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.9 | 8.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs TEN | vs MIN |
| Opponent vs. position | 9th-softest (35.9 pts/g allowed) | 5th-toughest (27.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 17% target share (last 3) | 25% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. KC Concepcion Jr. projects for 9.4 PPR points and Keenan Allen for 9.2, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 9.4 PPR points for KC Concepcion Jr. and 9.2 for Keenan Allen.
The sources range from 8.9 to 9.9 for Concepcion Jr. and from 8.7 to 9.8 for Allen. Either result is well inside both ranges.
KC Concepcion Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Concepcion Jr. at 8.9 PPR points, against 8.7 for Keenan Allen.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
KC Concepcion Jr. has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Concepcion Jr. at 9.9 PPR points, against 9.8 for Keenan Allen.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
KC Concepcion Jr. plays TEN and Keenan Allen plays MIN in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Concepcion Jr. faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs and Allen faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs, so KC Concepcion Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games KC Concepcion Jr. has drawn 17% of his team's targets, and Keenan Allen 25% of his team's targets.
Keenan Allen has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Keenan Allen.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither KC Concepcion Jr. nor Keenan Allen has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). KC Concepcion Jr. is projected by 4 of them and Keenan Allen by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.