Start Keenan Allen. Allen is projected for 10.8 PPR points vs 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr., and faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Keenan Allen WR · IND | Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 10.8 | 0.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.2 | 0.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.7 | 0.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.0 (WR24) | — |
| Opponent | vs DAL | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-softest (35.6 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 24% target share (last 3) | 11% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Keenan Allen. Allen projects for 10.8 PPR points vs DAL, against 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr. on a bye: a 10.1-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Keenan Allen is projected to score more: 10.8 PPR points to 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr..
The sources range from 8.2 to 12.7 for Allen and from 0.7 to 0.7 for Samuel Sr.. Even Samuel Sr.'s highest projection is below Allen's lowest.
Keenan Allen is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Allen at 8.2 PPR points, against 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Keenan Allen has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Allen at 12.7 PPR points, against 0.7 for Deebo Samuel Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Keenan Allen plays DAL and Deebo Samuel Sr. is on a bye in Week 9.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Keenan Allen has drawn 24% of his team's targets, and Deebo Samuel Sr. 11% of his team's targets.
Keenan Allen has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Keenan Allen.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Keenan Allen has no injury designation, and Deebo Samuel Sr. is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Keenan Allen is projected by 6 of them and Deebo Samuel Sr. by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.