Too close to call: James Cook III (16.9) and Derrick Henry (16.7) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and James Cook III faces the 5th-toughest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| James Cook III RB · BUF | Derrick Henry RB · BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 16.9 | 16.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 16.1 | 15.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.7 (RB8) | 16.4 (RB13) |
| Opponent | vs BAL | vs BUF |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-toughest (18.5 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-softest (27.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 69% carry share (last 3) | 68% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. James Cook III projects for 16.9 PPR points and Derrick Henry for 16.7, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 16.9 PPR points for James Cook III and 16.7 for Derrick Henry.
The sources range from 16.1 to 18.8 for Cook III and from 15.8 to 18.8 for Henry. Either result is well inside both ranges.
James Cook III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Cook III at 16.1 PPR points, against 15.8 for Derrick Henry.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
They share the same ceiling, 18.8 PPR points.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
James Cook III plays BAL and Derrick Henry plays BUF in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Cook III faces the 5th-toughest defense against RBs and Henry faces the 3rd-softest defense against RBs, so Derrick Henry has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games James Cook III has drawn 69% of his team's carries, and Derrick Henry 68% of his team's carries.
James Cook III has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither James Cook III nor Derrick Henry has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). James Cook III is projected by 6 of them and Derrick Henry by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.