Start DeVonta Smith. Smith is projected for 13.8 PPR points vs 11.4 for Germie Bernard, and faces the 6th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| DeVonta Smith WR · PHI | Germie Bernard WR · PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 13.8 | 11.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.0 | 10.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.9 | 12.8 |
| StatChasers projection | — | 12.5 (WR22) |
| Opponent | vs WAS | vs CLE |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-softest (35.9 pts/g allowed) | 14th-softest (31.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 34% target share (last 3) | 26% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start DeVonta Smith. Smith projects for 13.8 PPR points vs WAS, against 11.4 for Germie Bernard vs CLE: a 2.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
DeVonta Smith is projected to score more: 13.8 PPR points to 11.4 for Germie Bernard.
The sources range from 12.0 to 15.9 for Smith and from 10.3 to 12.8 for Bernard. The ranges overlap, so Bernard outscoring Smith is a realistic result.
DeVonta Smith is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Smith at 12.0 PPR points, against 10.3 for Germie Bernard.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
DeVonta Smith has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Smith at 15.9 PPR points, against 12.8 for Germie Bernard.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
DeVonta Smith plays WAS and Germie Bernard plays CLE in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Smith faces the 6th-softest defense against WRs and Bernard faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs, so DeVonta Smith has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games DeVonta Smith has drawn 34% of his team's targets, and Germie Bernard 26% of his team's targets.
DeVonta Smith has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is DeVonta Smith.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither DeVonta Smith nor Germie Bernard has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). DeVonta Smith is projected by 4 of them and Germie Bernard by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.