Start DeVonta Smith. Smith is projected for 13.8 PPR points vs 13.1 for Tony Pollard, and faces the 6th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| DeVonta Smith WR · PHI | Tony Pollard RB · TEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 13.8 | 13.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.0 | 12.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.9 | 14.1 |
| StatChasers projection | — | 13.0 (RB21) |
| Opponent | vs WAS | vs CIN |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-softest (35.9 pts/g allowed) | 4th-toughest (17.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 34% target share (last 3) | 82% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | RB |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start DeVonta Smith. Smith projects for 13.8 PPR points vs WAS, against 13.1 for Tony Pollard vs CIN: a 0.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
DeVonta Smith is projected to score more: 13.8 PPR points to 13.1 for Tony Pollard.
The sources range from 12.0 to 15.9 for Smith and from 12.1 to 14.1 for Pollard. The ranges overlap, so Pollard outscoring Smith is a realistic result.
Tony Pollard is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Pollard at 12.1 PPR points, against 12.0 for DeVonta Smith.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
DeVonta Smith has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Smith at 15.9 PPR points, against 14.1 for Tony Pollard.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
DeVonta Smith plays WAS and Tony Pollard plays CIN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Smith faces the 6th-softest defense against WRs and Pollard faces the 4th-toughest defense against RBs, so DeVonta Smith has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games DeVonta Smith has drawn 34% of his team's targets, and Tony Pollard 82% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is DeVonta Smith.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither DeVonta Smith nor Tony Pollard has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). DeVonta Smith is projected by 4 of them and Tony Pollard by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.