Start Tony Pollard. Pollard is projected for 13.1 PPR points vs 12.8 for Luther Burden III, and faces the 4th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Tony Pollard RB · TEN | Luther Burden III WR · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 13.1 | 12.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.1 | 12.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.1 | 13.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 13.0 (RB21) | 12.4 (WR23) |
| Opponent | vs CIN | vs SEA |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-toughest (17.9 pts/g allowed) | 1st-toughest (20.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 82% carry share (last 3) | 18% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Tony Pollard. Pollard projects for 13.1 PPR points vs CIN, against 12.8 for Luther Burden III vs SEA: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Tony Pollard is projected to score more: 13.1 PPR points to 12.8 for Luther Burden III.
The sources range from 12.1 to 14.1 for Pollard and from 12.3 to 13.4 for Burden III. The ranges overlap, so Burden III outscoring Pollard is a realistic result.
Luther Burden III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Burden III at 12.3 PPR points, against 12.1 for Tony Pollard.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Tony Pollard has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Pollard at 14.1 PPR points, against 13.4 for Luther Burden III.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Tony Pollard plays CIN and Luther Burden III plays SEA in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Pollard faces the 4th-toughest defense against RBs and Burden III faces the 1st-toughest defense against WRs, so Tony Pollard has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Tony Pollard has drawn 82% of his team's carries, and Luther Burden III 18% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Luther Burden III.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Tony Pollard nor Luther Burden III has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Tony Pollard is projected by 6 of them and Luther Burden III by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.