Too close to call: Jahan Dotson (7.6) and Efton Chism III (7.5) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Jahan Dotson faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Jahan Dotson WR · ATL | Efton Chism III WR · NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 7.6 | 7.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.7 | 6.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.1 | 9.3 |
| StatChasers projection | 7.0 (WR55) | 6.2 (WR61) |
| Opponent | vs CIN | vs GB |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-softest (32.9 pts/g allowed) | 9th-softest (34.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 15% target share (last 3) | 9% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Jahan Dotson projects for 7.6 PPR points and Efton Chism III for 7.5, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 7.6 PPR points for Jahan Dotson and 7.5 for Efton Chism III.
The sources range from 5.7 to 9.1 for Dotson and from 6.2 to 9.3 for Chism III. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Efton Chism III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Chism III at 6.2 PPR points, against 5.7 for Jahan Dotson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Efton Chism III has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Chism III at 9.3 PPR points, against 9.1 for Jahan Dotson.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jahan Dotson plays CIN and Efton Chism III plays GB in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Dotson faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs and Chism III faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs, so Efton Chism III has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jahan Dotson has drawn 15% of his team's targets, and Efton Chism III 9% of his team's targets.
Jahan Dotson has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jahan Dotson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jahan Dotson nor Efton Chism III has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jahan Dotson is projected by 6 of them and Efton Chism III by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.