Too close to call: Efton Chism III (7.5) and Quentin Johnston (7.5) project within 0.0 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Efton Chism III faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Efton Chism III WR · NE | Quentin Johnston WR · LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 6.2 | 6.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.3 | 8.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 6.2 (WR61) | 7.5 (WR52) |
| Opponent | vs GB | vs HOU |
| Opponent vs. position | 9th-softest (34.8 pts/g allowed) | 4th-softest (37.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 9% target share (last 3) | 9% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Efton Chism III projects for 7.5 PPR points and Quentin Johnston for 7.5, within 0.0 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 7.5 PPR points for Efton Chism III and 7.5 for Quentin Johnston.
The sources range from 6.2 to 9.3 for Chism III and from 6.5 to 8.0 for Johnston. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Quentin Johnston is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Johnston at 6.5 PPR points, against 6.2 for Efton Chism III.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Efton Chism III has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Chism III at 9.3 PPR points, against 8.0 for Quentin Johnston.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Efton Chism III plays GB and Quentin Johnston plays HOU in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Chism III faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs and Johnston faces the 4th-softest defense against WRs, so Quentin Johnston has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Efton Chism III has drawn 9% of his team's targets, and Quentin Johnston 9% of his team's targets.
Quentin Johnston has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Quentin Johnston.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Efton Chism III nor Quentin Johnston has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Efton Chism III is projected by 6 of them and Quentin Johnston by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.