Too close to call: George Pickens (13.8) and Stefon Diggs (13.7) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and George Pickens faces the 6th-toughest defense against WRs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| George Pickens WR · DAL | Stefon Diggs WR · WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 13.8 | 13.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.3 | 11.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.7 | 16.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.7 (WR16) | 11.5 (WR25) |
| Opponent | vs IND | vs LAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-toughest (27.4 pts/g allowed) | 5th-toughest (26.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 19% target share (last 3) | 23% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. George Pickens projects for 13.8 PPR points and Stefon Diggs for 13.7, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 13.8 PPR points for George Pickens and 13.7 for Stefon Diggs.
The sources range from 13.3 to 14.7 for Pickens and from 11.5 to 16.0 for Diggs. Either result is well inside both ranges.
George Pickens is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Pickens at 13.3 PPR points, against 11.5 for Stefon Diggs.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Stefon Diggs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Diggs at 16.0 PPR points, against 14.7 for George Pickens.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
George Pickens plays IND and Stefon Diggs plays LAR in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Pickens faces the 6th-toughest defense against WRs and Diggs faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs, so George Pickens has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games George Pickens has drawn 19% of his team's targets, and Stefon Diggs 23% of his team's targets.
Stefon Diggs has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Stefon Diggs.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither George Pickens nor Stefon Diggs has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). George Pickens is projected by 6 of them and Stefon Diggs by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.