Start T.J. Hockenson. Hockenson is projected for 10.3 PPR points vs 9.0 for Greg Dulcich, and faces the 13th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| T.J. Hockenson TE · MIN | Greg Dulcich TE · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 10.3 | 9.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.6 | 8.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.6 | 9.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.6 (TE11) | 9.4 (TE18) |
| Opponent | vs BUF | vs DET |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-softest (14.1 pts/g allowed) | 1st-softest (27.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 14% target share (last 3) | 21% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · TE1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start T.J. Hockenson. Hockenson projects for 10.3 PPR points vs BUF, against 9.0 for Greg Dulcich vs DET: a 1.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
T.J. Hockenson is projected to score more: 10.3 PPR points to 9.0 for Greg Dulcich.
The sources range from 8.6 to 11.6 for Hockenson and from 8.1 to 9.6 for Dulcich. The ranges overlap, so Dulcich outscoring Hockenson is a realistic result.
T.J. Hockenson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Hockenson at 8.6 PPR points, against 8.1 for Greg Dulcich.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
T.J. Hockenson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Hockenson at 11.6 PPR points, against 9.6 for Greg Dulcich.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
T.J. Hockenson plays BUF and Greg Dulcich plays DET in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Hockenson faces the 13th-softest defense against TEs and Dulcich faces the 1st-softest defense against TEs, so Greg Dulcich has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games T.J. Hockenson has drawn 14% of his team's targets, and Greg Dulcich 21% of his team's targets.
Greg Dulcich has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Greg Dulcich.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither T.J. Hockenson nor Greg Dulcich has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). T.J. Hockenson is projected by 5 of them and Greg Dulcich by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.