Start T.J. Hockenson. Hockenson is projected for 10.0 PPR points vs 8.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr., and faces the 15th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| T.J. Hockenson TE · MIN | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 10.0 | 8.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.5 | 6.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.6 | 9.8 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs IND | vs SF |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-softest (13.3 pts/g allowed) | 4th-toughest (9.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 21% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · TE1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start T.J. Hockenson. Hockenson projects for 10.0 PPR points vs IND, against 8.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr. vs SF: a 1.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
T.J. Hockenson is projected to score more: 10.0 PPR points to 8.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
The sources range from 9.5 to 10.6 for Hockenson and from 6.9 to 9.8 for Pitts Sr.. The ranges overlap, so Pitts Sr. outscoring Hockenson is a realistic result.
T.J. Hockenson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Hockenson at 9.5 PPR points, against 6.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
T.J. Hockenson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Hockenson at 10.6 PPR points, against 9.8 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
T.J. Hockenson plays IND and Kyle Pitts Sr. plays SF in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Hockenson faces the 15th-softest defense against TEs and Pitts Sr. faces the 4th-toughest defense against TEs, so T.J. Hockenson has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games T.J. Hockenson has drawn 21% of his team's targets, and Kyle Pitts Sr. 19% of his team's targets.
T.J. Hockenson has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is T.J. Hockenson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither T.J. Hockenson nor Kyle Pitts Sr. has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). T.J. Hockenson is projected by 4 of them and Kyle Pitts Sr. by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.