Start Trey McBride. McBride is projected for 19.1 PPR points vs 9.4 for Harold Fannin Jr., and faces the 14th-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Trey McBride TE · ARI | Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 19.1 | 9.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 17.0 | 8.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 21.3 | 10.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 20.2 (TE1) | 9.6 (TE14) |
| Opponent | vs DAL | vs PIT |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-toughest (12.4 pts/g allowed) | 9th-toughest (10.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 26% target share (last 3) | 17% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | FLEX · Streamer |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Trey McBride. McBride projects for 19.1 PPR points vs DAL, against 9.4 for Harold Fannin Jr. vs PIT: a 9.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Trey McBride is projected to score more: 19.1 PPR points to 9.4 for Harold Fannin Jr..
The sources range from 17.0 to 21.3 for McBride and from 8.5 to 10.7 for Fannin Jr.. Even Fannin Jr.'s highest projection is below McBride's lowest.
Trey McBride is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has McBride at 17.0 PPR points, against 8.5 for Harold Fannin Jr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Trey McBride has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has McBride at 21.3 PPR points, against 10.7 for Harold Fannin Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Trey McBride plays DAL and Harold Fannin Jr. plays PIT in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, McBride faces the 14th-toughest defense against TEs and Fannin Jr. faces the 9th-toughest defense against TEs, so Trey McBride has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Trey McBride has drawn 26% of his team's targets, and Harold Fannin Jr. 17% of his team's targets.
Trey McBride has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Trey McBride.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Trey McBride nor Harold Fannin Jr. has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Trey McBride is projected by 5 of them and Harold Fannin Jr. by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.