Start Trey McBride. McBride is projected for 19.1 PPR points vs 18.8 for Zay Flowers, and faces the 14th-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Trey McBride TE · ARI | Zay Flowers WR · BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 19.1 | 18.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 17.0 | 18.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 21.3 | 20.1 |
| StatChasers projection | 20.2 (TE1) | 18.2 (WR7) |
| Opponent | vs DAL | vs BUF |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-toughest (12.4 pts/g allowed) | 1st-softest (42.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 26% target share (last 3) | 32% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | START · Strong WR1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Trey McBride. McBride projects for 19.1 PPR points vs DAL, against 18.8 for Zay Flowers vs BUF: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Trey McBride is projected to score more: 19.1 PPR points to 18.8 for Zay Flowers.
The sources range from 17.0 to 21.3 for McBride and from 18.2 to 20.1 for Flowers. The ranges overlap, so Flowers outscoring McBride is a realistic result.
Zay Flowers is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Flowers at 18.2 PPR points, against 17.0 for Trey McBride.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Trey McBride has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has McBride at 21.3 PPR points, against 20.1 for Zay Flowers.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Trey McBride plays DAL and Zay Flowers plays BUF in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, McBride faces the 14th-toughest defense against TEs and Flowers faces the 1st-softest defense against WRs, so Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Trey McBride has drawn 26% of his team's targets, and Zay Flowers 32% of his team's targets.
Zay Flowers has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Zay Flowers.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Trey McBride nor Zay Flowers has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Trey McBride is projected by 5 of them and Zay Flowers by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.