Too close to call: Rashod Bateman (6.4) and Jalen Nailor (6.2) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Rashod Bateman faces the 9th-toughest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Rashod Bateman WR · BAL | Jalen Nailor WR · LV | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 6.4 | 6.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.4 | 4.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 7.1 | 8.9 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs CIN | vs LAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 9th-toughest (29.5 pts/g allowed) | 4th-toughest (26.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 10% target share (last 3) | 6% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Rashod Bateman projects for 6.4 PPR points and Jalen Nailor for 6.2, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 6.4 PPR points for Rashod Bateman and 6.2 for Jalen Nailor.
The sources range from 5.4 to 7.1 for Bateman and from 4.3 to 8.9 for Nailor. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Rashod Bateman is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Bateman at 5.4 PPR points, against 4.3 for Jalen Nailor.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jalen Nailor has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Nailor at 8.9 PPR points, against 7.1 for Rashod Bateman.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Rashod Bateman plays CIN and Jalen Nailor plays LAR in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Bateman faces the 9th-toughest defense against WRs and Nailor faces the 4th-toughest defense against WRs, so Rashod Bateman has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Rashod Bateman has drawn 10% of his team's targets, and Jalen Nailor 6% of his team's targets.
Rashod Bateman has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Rashod Bateman.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Rashod Bateman nor Jalen Nailor has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Rashod Bateman is projected by 3 of them and Jalen Nailor by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.