Start Caleb Douglas. Douglas is projected for 6.7 PPR points vs 6.2 for Jalen Nailor, and faces the 12th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Caleb Douglas WR · MIA | Jalen Nailor WR · LV | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 6.7 | 6.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 7.6 | 8.9 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NYJ | vs LAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 12th-toughest (30.2 pts/g allowed) | 4th-toughest (26.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 20% target share (last 2) | 6% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Caleb Douglas. Douglas projects for 6.7 PPR points vs NYJ, against 6.2 for Jalen Nailor vs LAR: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Caleb Douglas is projected to score more: 6.7 PPR points to 6.2 for Jalen Nailor.
The sources range from 5.3 to 7.6 for Douglas and from 4.3 to 8.9 for Nailor. The ranges overlap, so Nailor outscoring Douglas is a realistic result.
Caleb Douglas is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Douglas at 5.3 PPR points, against 4.3 for Jalen Nailor.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jalen Nailor has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Nailor at 8.9 PPR points, against 7.6 for Caleb Douglas.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Caleb Douglas plays NYJ and Jalen Nailor plays LAR in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Douglas faces the 12th-toughest defense against WRs and Nailor faces the 4th-toughest defense against WRs, so Caleb Douglas has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Caleb Douglas has drawn 20% of his team's targets, and Jalen Nailor 6% of his team's targets.
Caleb Douglas has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Caleb Douglas.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Caleb Douglas nor Jalen Nailor has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Caleb Douglas is projected by 4 of them and Jalen Nailor by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.