Start Roman Wilson. Wilson is projected for 8.2 PPR points vs 7.5 for Jaylin Noel.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Roman Wilson WR · PIT | Jaylin Noel WR · HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 8.2 | 7.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.2 | 4.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 8.2 | 8.9 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | Bye | vs NYG |
| Opponent vs. position | — | 14th-toughest (31.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 13% target share (last 3) | 13% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Roman Wilson. Wilson projects for 8.2 PPR points on a bye, against 7.5 for Jaylin Noel vs NYG: a 0.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Roman Wilson is projected to score more: 8.2 PPR points to 7.5 for Jaylin Noel.
The sources range from 8.2 to 8.2 for Wilson and from 4.9 to 8.9 for Noel. The ranges overlap, so Noel outscoring Wilson is a realistic result.
Roman Wilson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Wilson at 8.2 PPR points, against 4.9 for Jaylin Noel.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jaylin Noel has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Noel at 8.9 PPR points, against 8.2 for Roman Wilson.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Roman Wilson is on a bye and Jaylin Noel plays NYG in Week 7.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Roman Wilson has drawn 13% of his team's targets, and Jaylin Noel 13% of his team's targets.
Jaylin Noel has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jaylin Noel.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Roman Wilson is on a bye, and Jaylin Noel has no injury designation.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Roman Wilson is projected by 1 of them and Jaylin Noel by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.