Start Zach Charbonnet. Charbonnet is projected for 10.6 PPR points vs 7.4 for J.K. Dobbins, and faces the 14th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA | J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 10.6 | 7.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.0 | 4.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.0 (RB27) | 5.9 (RB43) |
| Opponent | vs ARI | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-toughest (20.7 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-softest (28.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 44% carry share (last 3) | 39% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Zach Charbonnet. Charbonnet projects for 10.6 PPR points vs ARI, against 7.4 for J.K. Dobbins vs CAR: a 3.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Zach Charbonnet is projected to score more: 10.6 PPR points to 7.4 for J.K. Dobbins.
The sources range from 10.0 to 11.2 for Charbonnet and from 4.4 to 10.0 for Dobbins. The ranges overlap, so Dobbins outscoring Charbonnet is a realistic result.
Zach Charbonnet is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Charbonnet at 10.0 PPR points, against 4.4 for J.K. Dobbins.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Zach Charbonnet has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Charbonnet at 11.2 PPR points, against 10.0 for J.K. Dobbins.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Zach Charbonnet plays ARI and J.K. Dobbins plays CAR in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Charbonnet faces the 14th-toughest defense against RBs and Dobbins faces the 2nd-softest defense against RBs, so J.K. Dobbins has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Zach Charbonnet has drawn 44% of his team's carries, and J.K. Dobbins 39% of his team's carries.
Zach Charbonnet has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Zach Charbonnet nor J.K. Dobbins has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Zach Charbonnet is projected by 6 of them and J.K. Dobbins by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.