Too close to call: Justin Herbert (13.3) and Joe Milton (13.1) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Justin Herbert faces the 13th-softest defense against QBs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Justin Herbert QB · LAC | Joe Milton QB · PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 13.3 | 13.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.3 | 15.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.3 (QB21) | 13.9 (QB27) |
| Opponent | vs HOU | vs NYG |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-softest (18.5 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (20.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Justin Herbert projects for 13.3 PPR points and Joe Milton for 13.1, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 13.3 PPR points for Justin Herbert and 13.1 for Joe Milton.
The sources range from 10.8 to 15.3 for Herbert and from 10.1 to 15.0 for Milton. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Justin Herbert is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Herbert at 10.8 PPR points, against 10.1 for Joe Milton.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Justin Herbert has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Herbert at 15.3 PPR points, against 15.0 for Joe Milton.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Justin Herbert plays HOU and Joe Milton plays NYG in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Herbert faces the 13th-softest defense against QBs and Milton faces the 7th-softest defense against QBs, so Joe Milton has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Justin Herbert nor Joe Milton has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Justin Herbert is projected by 6 of them and Joe Milton by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.